PKU A-LAB · AI for Social Science Series

AI Copilot in Social Science Research:
Simulation, Verification, and Interaction

Le Bao

Massive Data Institute, Georgetown University

May 24, 2024

Generative AI

  • Artificial Intelligence (AI), particularly Generative AI, is rapidly penetrating every aspect of the world, including social science research.
  • Generative AI: Deep-learning models that can generate high-quality text, images, and other content based on the data they were trained on.
    • Text: ChatGPT, Gemini, LLaMA, Claude, Bloom, Jasper,….
    • Image: DALL-E, Midjourney, Stable Diffusion, Imagen, Parti, ….
    • Speech: Vertex AI, ElevenLabs, Murf AI, Resemble AI, ….
    • Video: Sora, Synthesia, Make-A-Video, Phenaki, Amazon Rekognition, ….
    • Data: SMOTE, ADASYN, Augmenter, ….
  • AI tools and AI-generated data are increasingly being integrated into social science research.

GPT in Political Science

Overview

  • Questions:
    • How generative AIs can assist and extend social science research?
    • How we can properly use generative AIs for social science research?
  • Today
    • Fundementals of Generative AI
    • Simulation
    • Verification
    • Interaction
  • Disclosure

How Does AI Become So Good?

  • It didn’t happen overnight.
  • There are three major breakthroughs worth highlighting:
    • Neural network
    • Transformer
    • Training and tuning

Neural Network

  • The Statistical Paradigm Ante 1990
    • Pick a functional form based on domain and nature of the data.
    • Find parameters that (best) fit the data.
    • Gain understanding from examining those parameters

Neural Network

  • Neural networks are flexible predictors
    • Neural networks are highly parameterized functions.
    • We can get any other function we want by setting the neural net parameters the right way.
    • Rather, we put data into the neural net, compare the function it represents with the one the data implicitly represents, and update the parameters.
    • Neural networks are built hierarchically, and plug together like Lego blocks.
    • In particular, neural nets are built compositionally.
      • Depth = levels of compositionality.

Neural Network

  • E.g., the most advanced GPT-3 model was trained in a model with 170B parameters and 96 layers.

Neural Network

  • Neural Netowrok Playground (https://playground.tensorflow.org/)